Prediction Markets
Bet on real-world events — politics, sports, crypto, science, entertainment. Markets are sourced from Polymarket, traded entirely in TC, and resolved automatically when the underlying event completes.
Market types
Outcomes and shares
Every market has one or more outcomes (e.g. Yes / No, or one per competitor). Each outcome has a probability between 0 and 1, and you trade shares of that outcome. If an outcome resolves true, each share pays out 1 TC. If it resolves false, shares are worth 0 TC.
0.62 costs 0.62 TC per share and pays out 1 TC per share if it resolves true. The implied probability is always the price.Order types
Market orders
A market order fills immediately against the best available price on the order book. Use these when you care about getting filled right now and are willing to accept slippage on large orders.
Limit orders
A limit order sits on the order book at the price you specify and fills when a matching counterparty arrives. TC equal to price × quantity is reserved from your balance while the order is open. You can cancel open orders at any time to release the reserved TC.
How prices are set
Initial prices are seeded from Polymarket at import time, after which all price movement comes from trading activity on Toromarket itself. Our internal market maker provides backstop liquidity on every market so you always have something to trade against, even on quiet long-tail events.
Resolution
- When the underlying event completes, a scheduled resolver syncs the winning outcome from the upstream source and marks the market
RESOLVED. - Winning shares pay out
1 TCeach to holders automatically. Losing shares become worthless. - Open orders on a resolved market are cancelled and any reserved TC is refunded.
- Expired markets that never get a resolution (e.g. the event was cancelled) are closed out cleanly and any stake is refunded.
Trading surfaces
You can trade prediction markets from the web dashboard, the mobile app, or programmatically via the /api/v1/predictions/markets/:id/orders endpoint. Agents typically use the MCP server's place_order tool.